Impact of the resumption of winter sports on the provision of emergency trauma care

The resumption of the winter sports tourist activity, after the brutal stop due to the Covid-19 pandemic, has required health professionals to reorganize the emergency care offer. It is therefore essential to work on the prevention of trauma risks. The challenge is to deal with these emergencies while maintaining the usual activity, in a context of shortage of beds and staff that is getting worse. Feedback from the Grenoble-Alpes University Hospital. © 2023 La reprise de l'activité touristique des sports d'hiver, après l'arrêt brutal dû à la pandémie de Covid-19, a demandé aux professionnels de santé une réorganisation de l'offre de soins d'urgence. Il est alors indispensable de travailler sur la prévention des risques traumatologiques. L'enjeu est de faire face à ces urgences tout en maintenant l'activité habituelle, dans un contexte de pénurie de lits et d'effectifs qui s'aggrave. Retour d'expérience du centre hospitalier universitaire Grenoble-Alpes. © 2023

Global patterns of daily CO2 emissions reductions in the first year of COVID-19

Observed daily changes in CO2 emissions from across the globe reveal the sectors and countries where pandemic-related emissions declines were most pronounced in 2020. Day-to-day changes in CO2 emissions from human activities, in particular fossil-fuel combustion and cement production, reflect a complex balance of influences from seasonality, working days, weather and, most recently, the COVID-19 pandemic. Here, we provide a daily CO2 emissions dataset for the whole year of 2020, calculated from inventory and near-real-time activity data. We find a global reduction of 6.3% (2,232 MtCO(2)) in CO2 emissions compared with 2019. The drop in daily emissions during the first part of the year resulted from reduced global economic activity due to the pandemic lockdowns, including a large decrease in emissions from the transportation sector. However, daily CO2 emissions gradually recovered towards 2019 levels from late April with the partial reopening of economic activity. Subsequent waves of lockdowns in late 2020 continued to cause smaller CO2 reductions, primarily in western countries. The extraordinary fall in emissions during 2020 is similar in magnitude to the sustained annual emissions reductions necessary to limit global warming at 1.5 degrees C. This underscores the magnitude and speed at which the energy transition needs to advance.

Global fossil carbon emissions rebound near pre-COVID-19 levels

Fossil CO2 emissions in 2021 grew an estimated 4.2% (3.5%–4.8%) to 36.2 billion metric tons compared with 2020, pushing global emissions back close to 2019 levels (36.7 Gt CO2).

Fossil CO2 emissions in the post-COVID-19 era

Growth in CO2 emissions has slowed since the Paris Agreement 5 years ago. The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a drop in emissions of about 7% in 2020 relative to 2019, but strong policy is needed to address underlying drivers and to sustain a decline in global emissions beyond the current crisis. Five years after the adoption of the Paris Climate Agreement, growth in global CO2 emissions has begun to falter. The pervasive disruptions from the COVID-19 pandemic have radically altered the trajectory of global CO2 emissions. Contradictory effects of the post-COVID-19 investments in fossil fuel-based infrastructure and the recent strengthening of climate targets must be addressed with new policy choices to sustain a decline in global emissions in the post-COVID-19 era.

Temporary reduction in daily global CO₂ emissions during the COVID-19 forced confinement

Government policies during the COVID-19 pandemic have drastically altered patterns of energy demand around the world. Many international borders were closed and populations were confined to their homes, which reduced transport and changed consumption patterns. Here we compile government policies and activity data to estimate the decrease in CO₂ emissions during forced confinements. Daily global CO₂ emissions decreased by -17% (-11 to -25% for +/-1sigma) by early April 2020 compared with the mean 2019 levels, just under half from changes in surface transport. At their peak, emissions in individual countries decreased by -26% on average. The impact on 2020 annual emissions depends on the duration of the confinement, with a low estimate of -4% (-2 to -7%) if prepandemic conditions return by mid-June, and a high estimate of -7% (-3 to -13%) if some restrictions remain worldwide until the end of 2020. Government actions and economic incentives postcrisis will likely influence the global CO₂ emissions path for decades.

Decarbonising the critical sectors of aviation, shipping, road freight and industry to limit warming to 1.5-2 degrees C

Limiting warming to well below 2 degrees C requires rapid and complete decarbonisation of energy systems. We compare economy-wide modelling of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C scenarios with sector-focused analyses of four critical sectors that are difficult to decarbonise: aviation, shipping, road freight transport, and industry. We develop and apply a novel framework to analyse and track mitigation progress in these sectors. We find that emission reductions in the 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C scenarios of the IMAGE model come from deep cuts in CO2 intensities and lower energy intensities, with minimal demand reductions in these sectors' activity. We identify a range of additional measures and policy levers that are not explicitly captured in modelled scenarios but could contribute significant emission reductions. These are demand reduction options, and include less air travel (aviation), reduced transportation of fossil fuels (shipping), more locally produced goods combined with high load factors (road freight), and a shift to a circular economy (industry). We discuss the challenges of reducing demand both for economy-wide modelling and for policy. Based on our sectoral analysis framework, we suggest modelling improvements and policy recommendations, calling on the relevant UN agencies to start tracking mitigation progress through monitoring key elements of the framework (CO2 intensity, energy efficiency, and demand for sectoral activity, as well as the underlying drivers), as a matter of urgency. Key policy insights Four critical sectors (aviation, shipping, road freight, and industry) cannot cut their CO2 emissions to zero rapidly with technological supply-side options alone. Without large-scale negative emissions, significant demand reductions for those sectors' activities are needed to meet the 1.5-2 degrees C goal. Policy priorities include affordable alternatives to frequent air travel;smooth connectivity between low-carbon travel modes;speed reductions in shipping and reduced demand for transporting fossil fuels;distributed manufacturing and local storage;and tightening standards for material use and product longevity. The COVID-19 crisis presents a unique opportunity to enact lasting CO2 emissions reductions, through switching from frequent air travel to other transport modes and online interactions. Policies driving significant demand reductions for the critical sectors' activities would reduce reliance on carbon removal technologies that are unavailable at scale.